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Showing posts from April 11, 2025

Banking Behemoths Drop Earnings Bombs

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) came out swinging with a Q1 EPS of $5.07 , beating estimates by $0.44. Revenue climbed to $45.3 billion , up 8% year over year. Dimon flexed with $7 billion in stock buybacks and a 12% dividend hike. But he also kept it real, noting economic "turbulence" and a geopolitical cocktail that no trader really asked for. Guidance? Expect $94 billion in net interest income, depending on how crazy the market wants to get. Wells Fargo (WFC) also brought home a solid beat: EPS of $1.39 vs $1.23 expected, though revenue slipped 3.4% to $20.15 billion . CEO Charlie Scharf warned of slower growth and market uncertainty, but said he was onboard with tariffs—pending, of course, a good outcome. We’ll be here waiting, Charlie. BlackRock (BLK) is managing a jaw-dropping $11.6 trillion in AUM , even as net income dipped 4% thanks to acquisition costs. Adjusted EPS landed at $11.30 , smashing expectations. Larry Fink's letter said it best: clients are anxious, volati...

We Should Watch the VIX, When Trading

When I'm trading, there's one little number tucked away in cell B1 of my trusty trading sheets that I check religiously—the VIX , or as Wall Street fondly calls it, the "fear gauge." Honestly, I've considered giving it a more personal nickname like "Mr. Doom" or "Captain Anxiety," but let's stick with VIX for now. For the uninitiated, the VIX (Cboe Volatility Index) measures the market's expected volatility based on S&P 500 index options. Think of it as the market's stress meter—when it spikes, it's like your heart rate after opening your brokerage account on a bad market day. Historically, this little gauge has seen extremes that'll make your head spin. Take October 24, 2008, for example, when the VIX hit an intraday record high of 89.53 during the global financial crisis. That wasn’t just fear—that was investors collectively screaming and running in circles. On the flip side, November 24, 2017, saw the VIX drop to i...