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Showing posts from April 17, 2026

Price Targets Might Say “Yes”… but Momentum Says “Not Yet”

When Price Targets Say “Yes”… but Momentum Says “Not Yet” — Spreadsheets Step In The Consumer Staples sector has been under pressure for months… and the weakness has been especially visible across packaged‑food names. GIS , CPB , CAG have all drifted lower… even as their valuations approach historically attractive levels. PEP and KDP have also been soft, with PEP only recently showing signs of life. On paper, this looks like a classic bargain‑hunter’s environment. Oddly, PEP and KDP are trading above my Price Targets, yet they sit within my Momentum filters… while other sector‑related companies sit comfortably inside their Price Targets but outside their Momentum filters. Under a simple valuation model, this would be the moment to scale in. But valuation alone is not my system… and my system is increasingly defined by the spreadsheets I have built and refined over years of iteration and coding. These sheets are not just trackers… they are behavioral filters… probability e...