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Showing posts from September 30, 2025

Nike Q1 2026 Preview: Is the "Win Now" Turnaround Working?

I expect the footwear giant, NKE , to report today (9/30/2025). Nike's most recent reports showed a business struggling with two core issues: waning demand for its classic Lifestyle footwear and increased competitive erosion in key performance categories. The core issue for investors remains: can the brand’s strategic restructuring outpace aggressive competitors? Fiscal Q3 & Q4 2024 Retrospective (The Pain Points) In Q3, Nike's overall revenue was nearly flat at $12.4 billion . Q4 confirmed the challenges, with revenue down 2% to $12.6 billion , missing consensus. The key takeaway from these reports was the dramatic guidance cut for the first half of fiscal 2025, signaling an intentional slowdown to clear inventory. Digital Woes: A major red flag was the 4% decline in Nike Digital sales globally, undermining the company’s heavy investment in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels. Lifestyle vs. Performance: Strong gains in core performance product (Running, Basketball) ...