The Signal Amidst the Noise

Recently, I made a move in my portfolio and trimmed down some of my holdings in AT&T (NYSE: T) . The decision was largely driven by a strong gut feeling born from personal observation: over the past few months, it seemed like almost everyone around me was complaining about their coverage and making the jump over to Verizon. When you hear the same sentiment repeated across multiple conversations, it’s easy to assume that a company is quietly bleeding market share. But when AT&T delivered its Q2 2026 earnings report , the hard data told a completely different story. The Q2 2026 Reality Check Far from experiencing a mass customer exodus, AT&T actually reported solid operational momentum in its core mobility segment: Subscribers: Added 432,000 postpaid phone net subscribers in Q2 alone, backed by near-historical low churn rates. Earnings: Adjusted EPS came in at $0.65 , beating Wall Street expectations ($0.59–$0.60). Free Cash Flow: Generated $4.7 billion ...

When I last wrote about Sempra (SREA) , I was focused on the migration of "idle" capital. I wanted my money out of the passive safety of High-Yield Savings and into the high-utility world of infrastructure and energy. But a quant’s work is never done. In this market, if you sit still, you aren't just stagnant... you’re decaying. Over the last month, I’ve stress-tested my entry and exit parameters against the "flushes" of the opening bell across our family portfolios... from the Joint account with my Wife to my Daughter's IRA. The result? An overhaul of the Medeiros Alpha Strategy (MAS) and the Augmented Income Strategy (AIS) . I’ve tightened the timeframes, added a "Triple-Branch" momentum gauge, and integrated a logic layer that challenges the traditional Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) . The Geopolitical Context: Crude and Conflict There is a war currently surrounding oil. The wealth of the world... nasty, dirty, stinky crude... is the ...

In my opinion, this month has been a clear example of how disciplined, rules‑based investing can feel both structured and uncertain at the same time. My thoughts are that prices have become more attractive as the market continues to decline… but I still question whether I am buying too frequently when relying on standard deviations as my primary targets. Standard deviations, Fibonacci‑based Aggregated Appreciation sales targets, and dividend yields form the foundation of my trading targets. These three pillars shape when I enter, when I trim, and how I evaluate opportunity during periods of volatility. Even with the uncertainty that comes with declining markets, the system continues to guide my entries, and I follow it with intention. In summary, the Fibonacci models enhance the concept of mean reversion by increasing the expected return as a stock declines. As the price moves down through additional standard deviations, the model assigns a higher sought return to the next trade iterat...