The Signal Amidst the Noise

The first computer that was, "Turing-Complete", and had the four basic features of our current computers (Input, Processing, Output, and Storage) was the ENIAC (Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer). The ENIAC was secretly developed by the US Army and first put to work at the University of Pennsylvania on 10 December 1945 in order to study the feasibility of the hydrogen bomb . The Internet, later developed and advanced Computers through Networking in Communicating. The Internet Advancment consisted of technologies developed by different individuals and organizations. Important figures include Robert W. Taylor, who led the development of the ARPANET (an early prototype of the Internet), and Vinton Cerf and Robert Kahn, who developed the Transmission Control Protocol/Internet Protocol (TCP/IP) technologies. The ARPANET was launched in 1969, and TCP/IP was adopted as a standard in 1983. Later advancing the Internet was Web Development which is the work involved in devel...

AGCO Corporation is an American Agricultural Machinery Manufacturer headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, United States. The company designs, produces and sells Tractors, Combines, Foragers, Hay Tools, Self-Propelled Sprayers, Smart Farming Technologies, Seeding Equipment, and Tillage Equipment. AGCO's brands include Challenger®, Fendt®, GSI®, Massey Ferguson®, and Valtra®. The company delivers Agricultural solutions to Farmers worldwide through a full line of products and replacement parts.

Treasury Yields are the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage 1. In other words, it is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don’t just affect how much the Government pays to borrow and how much Investors earn by buying Government Bonds. They also influence the interest rates consumers and businesses pay on loans to buy Real Estate, Vehicles, and Equipment. The Treasury holds Auctions for three types of securities. They are described as Bills, Notes, and Bonds. Auctions are organized by the type of Security and held through Treasury Direct. Treasuries can also be purchased on Secondary Markets through a Broker like eTrade.

Chevron announced that it will buy Hess, one of the largest independent oil producers in the US, for $53 billion. This is a major deal that will reshape the oil industry and create a new rival for Exxon Mobil. Chevron Stock (Ticker: CVX) fell by 6.72%, closing at $144.35 per share on October 27, 2023. This was the lowest price since October 20222. The drop was mainly due to the announcement of the Chevron-Hess deal. Some Analysts and Investors were skeptical about the deal, questioning whether Chevron was paying too much for Hess and whether the deal would create enough value for Chevron Shareholders. Chevron also reported lower-than-expected earnings for the third quarter, as higher oil prices were offset by lower production and higher costs. Chevron’s Stock performance contrasted with Exxon Mobil’s, which rose by 0.81% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and announcing a dividend increase. I want to analyze the Market reasoning behind the movement.

Historically, purchasing Stocks when others are selling them has produced the most profit. By many Measuring Sticks, we are currently in a time of Market Decline. Especially when zooming out for the entire year. Today has added to greater decline. Across my Watchlist, Energy Stocks are leading today's decline. Meanwhile, IT is slightly positive by half a point. I have some questions that need to be answered. I believe in the zero-sum game theories that exist and I believe that is causing the Stock Market declines. Simply put, I think large outflows of Capital going to other places is having some impact. A Run on the Stock Market A run on the stock market is a situation where a large number of investors panic and sell their Stocks, causing a sharp decline in prices and a loss of confidence in the Market. A run on the Stock Market can be triggered by various factors, such as economic shocks, political crises, natural disasters, or financial scandals. There is no shortage of reasons t...

Intel, the world’s largest chipmaker, reported its third-quarter earnings on Thursday, October 26, 2023, and surprised the market with better-than-expected results. The company also issued a strong revenue guidance for the fourth quarter, indicating that it is returning to growth after seven consecutive quarters of declining sales.

Inflation is a reality that investors have to face and prepare for. By investing in assets that can outperform inflation and diversifying your portfolio across different asset classes, you can hedge against inflation and preserve your wealth.  And hopefully, you can also have some fun along the way. Because investing doesn’t have to be boring or stressful. It can also be enjoyable and rewarding. In this post I will share my opinion on what is commonly recommended and what I prefer to protect against Inflation.

Google’s parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, October 24, 2023, after the market closed. The results were mixed, as the company beat analysts’ expectations for both revenue and earnings per share, but missed on its cloud segment growth. The Market reacted negatively to the news, GOOG dropping 9% on Wednesday, October 25, 2023, to close at $126.51 per share. This was the worst single-day performance for Google stock since October 26, 2022, when it fell 9.1% following an earnings miss. What Went Wrong for Google? Google is one of the dominant players in the online advertising market, which accounts for most of its revenue and profits. The company has been benefiting from the increased demand for digital ads during the pandemic, as more people shifted to online activities such as shopping, entertainment, education, and work. However, as the economy reopens and consumers resume their offline behaviors, Google faces some headwinds that could...

There are some challenges Investors' face, when utilizing various Strategies to gain income. I do not corral myself into the same groups most Investors seem to use. But undoubtedly, I am a, "Fundamental," Investor. Some differences I see, between the Mindset of a Fundamental and Technical Trader, is that I gather data and perform analysis. In contrast, to my presumption, Technical Analysts believe that Market is efficient and follow the flows of the Market. The difficult part of Fundamental Analysis is that we need access to the Data or Reported Information. If you're not very diversified and follow a small number of Companies, it is not too difficult to keep track. In contrast, anyone following or purchasing numerous shares of numerous companies will find it very difficult to keep track of Earnings Dates.  I realize it is often a bad decision to trade based on older data, when new data is available. To offer some background on the Catalyst for this post, I developed ...

I started using Technical Indicators, as an, "Aid," to several Trading Strategies. In addition to tracking three Indices, I have been monitoring the VIX. This morning I noticed the VIX is above 20. A median point of fear, indicating that Investors are shifting money to Options. It seems likely the shift could be money migrating away from Treasuries. An auction, Treasury Yields are elevated more than I recall seeing in a long time, which means Investors are not bidding highly. But the Stock Market has been declining as well. However, I believe the Stock Market decline is a result of mounting turmoil. The Nation seems divided, The House is lacking a Speaker and World War III might be unfolding. Regardless of what is causing the fear, the VIX crossed above twenty and is above the 20, 45, 90, and 120 day moving average. While twenty is not overly extreme, it signals fear is growing.